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shinnslist · motivated sellers

Motivated sellers: what shinnslist can and cannot show yet

Bottom line: 20 motivated-seller signals are proven on corridor parcels: Code Violation X Tall Grass, Tax Delinquency Early Warning, Foreclosure Nod Join, Probate Preprobate X Parcel, Estate Sales, Dumpster Out Front, Unkept Property, Vacant Nod Zombie, Code Lien Foreclosure, Early Change Motivation Score, Fresh Verified Distress Stack, Stalled Permit Distress, Heir Property Fractional, Fire Casualty Permit, Vacant Land Owner Distress Join, Hoa Superpriority Lien, Distress Stack Conviction Score, Lien Stack Priority, Tired Landlord Composite, Mechanic Lien Distress.

Free beta 9 of 10 personas open · 263 of 313 signals proven · as of October 19, 2026

What shinnslist can show today

Motivated sellers: what is real

  • Wholesaler: Owners whose tax bill goes to another address, who have held the place 10 years or more and paid less than half of what the county says it is worth now. Ranked by what led to profitable deals in Boulder County’s own sales records: a recent estate record on the title first, then heirs holding it, then 30 years or more held, with trouble on the county’s record (unpaid taxes, a foreclosure filing, a vacant or neglected home, an eviction, liens, heirs each owning a share) each adding once. Boulder County. These are classic reasons an owner could sell (they live elsewhere, have held a long time and have equity), not proof that they want to. Checked: Top 12 checked by hand against Boulder County’s own records on Oct 16, 2026: sale, value and mailing all match, 12 of 12.
  • Code Violation X Tall Grass: proven October 16, 2026 on 24 test cases (24 in the corridor), precision 1.00, recall 1.00, against Boulder County Land Use, code enforcement cases (Accela, public ArcGIS layer, no key)
  • Life Event Distress: proven October 18, 2026 on 18 test cases (1 in the corridor, 17 elsewhere in Colorado), precision 1.00, recall 1.00, against U.S. Census Bureau ACS 2020-2024 5-year summary file, table B23025 (employment status), per county (www2.census.gov, no key) (not tested in the Colorado corridor)
  • Tax Delinquency Early Warning: proven October 16, 2026 on 24 test cases (24 in the corridor), precision 1.00, recall 1.00, against Larimer County Treasurer's 2026 tax lien sale advertising list of delinquent real property (public Excel file, refreshed nightly until the 2026-11-19 sale), joined through Larimer County's tax parcels layer
  • Foreclosure Nod Join: proven October 18, 2026 on 24 test cases (24 in the corridor), precision 1.00, recall 1.00, against Boulder County Assessor sales file (every recorded document per account; nightly CSV, no key)
  • Probate Preprobate X Parcel: proven October 16, 2026 on 24 test cases (24 in the corridor), precision 1.00, recall 1.00, against Boulder County Assessor, parcel owners map layer (public ArcGIS, no key)
  • Estate Sales: proven October 18, 2026 on 24 test cases (24 in the corridor), precision 1.00, recall 1.00, against Boulder County Assessor sales file (nightly CSV, no key)
  • Dumpster Out Front: proven October 16, 2026 on 24 test cases (24 in the corridor), precision 1.00, recall 1.00, against City of Boulder Construction Permits (city open data)
  • Unkept Property: proven October 18, 2026 on 24 test cases (24 in the corridor), precision 1.00, recall 0.92, against USDA NAIP 4-band imagery (Microsoft Planetary Computer
  • Vacant Nod Zombie: proven October 18, 2026 on 24 test cases (24 in the corridor), precision 1.00, recall 1.00, against Boulder County Assessor sales and owner files (nightly CSVs, no key)
  • Code Lien Foreclosure: proven October 18, 2026 on 16 test cases (16 in the corridor), precision 1.00, recall 1.00, against Boulder County Land Use cases (Accela layer, read whole) and the Assessor sales file
  • Early Change Motivation Score: proven October 16, 2026 on 24 test cases (24 in the corridor), precision 1.00, recall 1.00, against Four signals proven on corridor parcels, read live by the composite
  • Fresh Verified Distress Stack: proven October 18, 2026 on 24 test cases (24 in the corridor), precision 1.00, recall 1.00, against The same proven distress legs, each dated by what it read (the Boulder files' CreatedDate, the Larimer files' RUNDATE, the stored tax list's as-of date, live layers today)
  • Stalled Permit Distress: proven October 16, 2026 on 48 test cases (48 in the corridor), precision 1.00, recall 1.00, against Boulder County building permits (Accela, public ArcGIS layer, no key) and the City of Boulder construction permits (public ArcGIS layer, no key)
  • Heir Property Fractional: proven October 18, 2026 on 24 test cases (24 in the corridor), precision 1.00, recall 1.00, against Boulder County Assessor sales and owner files (nightly CSVs, no key)
  • Fire Casualty Permit: proven October 16, 2026 on 24 test cases (24 in the corridor), precision 1.00, recall 1.00, against Boulder County fire-casualty records (Accela Four Mile Fire and Marshall Fire records; the Marshall Fire parcel layer; public ArcGIS, no key)
  • Vacant Land Owner Distress Join: proven October 18, 2026 on 24 test cases (24 in the corridor), precision 1.00, recall 1.00, against Boulder County Assessor sales and owner files (nightly CSVs, no key)
  • Hoa Superpriority Lien: proven October 18, 2026 on 24 test cases (24 in the corridor), precision 1.00, recall 1.00, against Boulder County Assessor sales and owner files (nightly CSVs, no key)
  • Distress Stack Conviction Score: proven October 18, 2026 on 24 test cases (24 in the corridor), precision 1.00, recall 1.00, against The corridor's proven distress signals (Boulder County
  • Lien Stack Priority: proven October 18, 2026 on 24 test cases (24 in the corridor), precision 1.00, recall 1.00, against Boulder County Assessor sales file and Land Use cases
  • Tired Landlord Composite: proven October 16, 2026 on 48 test cases (48 in the corridor), precision 1.00, recall 1.00, against Boulder County parcel owners and sales and its code cases and permits (Accela), and Larimer County's tax parcels layer, its Assessor's public sales file and its Treasurer's tax lien sale list, public, no key
  • Mechanic Lien Distress: proven October 18, 2026 on 24 test cases (24 in the corridor), precision 1.00, recall 1.00, against Boulder County Land Use cases (Accela layer, read whole)
  • Eviction Timeline Risk: proven October 18, 2026 on 24 test cases (8 in the corridor, 16 elsewhere in Colorado), precision 1.00, recall 1.00, against U.S. Census Bureau ACS 2020-2024 5-year summary file, table B25071 (median gross rent as a percentage of household income), per tract (www2.census.gov, no key) (not tested in the Colorado corridor)

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What it cannot show yet

  • A foreclosure notice, taxes behind, a probate filing or an expired listing for corridor parcels: none of these is real in shinnslist’s Colorado data yet.
  • The ranking of who is most likely to sell has been graded on 2 days so far; the record is on How we grade.

Questions

Motivated sellers, answered from the records

Does shinnslist have a motivated-seller list for Colorado?

Not yet. The persona for it is closed until its data (foreclosure notices, taxes behind, probate filings, expired listings) is real for corridor parcels. The open Wholesaler persona shows owners with classic reasons to sell, not proven intent.

Does an absentee owner mean a motivated seller?

No. It means the tax bill goes to another address. In mountain towns that is often a family cabin or a second home. Motivation is only known after a conversation.

Which motivated-seller signals are proven?

Code Violation X Tall Grass: proven October 16, 2026 on 24 test cases (24 in the corridor), precision 1.00, recall 1.00, against Boulder County Land Use, code enforcement cases (Accela, public ArcGIS layer, no key). Life Event Distress: proven October 18, 2026 on 18 test cases (1 in the corridor, 17 elsewhere in Colorado), precision 1.00, recall 1.00, against U.S. Census Bureau ACS 2020-2024 5-year summary file, table B23025 (employment status), per county (www2.census.gov, no key), not tested in the Colorado corridor. Tax Delinquency Early Warning: proven October 16, 2026 on 24 test cases (24 in the corridor), precision 1.00, recall 1.00, against Larimer County Treasurer's 2026 tax lien sale advertising list of delinquent real property (public Excel file, refreshed nightly until the 2026-11-19 sale), joined through Larimer County's tax parcels layer. Foreclosure Nod Join: proven October 18, 2026 on 24 test cases (24 in the corridor), precision 1.00, recall 1.00, against Boulder County Assessor sales file (every recorded document per account; nightly CSV, no key). Probate Preprobate X Parcel: proven October 16, 2026 on 24 test cases (24 in the corridor), precision 1.00, recall 1.00, against Boulder County Assessor, parcel owners map layer (public ArcGIS, no key). Estate Sales: proven October 18, 2026 on 24 test cases (24 in the corridor), precision 1.00, recall 1.00, against Boulder County Assessor sales file (nightly CSV, no key). Dumpster Out Front: proven October 16, 2026 on 24 test cases (24 in the corridor), precision 1.00, recall 1.00, against City of Boulder Construction Permits (city open data). Unkept Property: proven October 18, 2026 on 24 test cases (24 in the corridor), precision 1.00, recall 0.92, against USDA NAIP 4-band imagery (Microsoft Planetary Computer. Vacant Nod Zombie: proven October 18, 2026 on 24 test cases (24 in the corridor), precision 1.00, recall 1.00, against Boulder County Assessor sales and owner files (nightly CSVs, no key). Code Lien Foreclosure: proven October 18, 2026 on 16 test cases (16 in the corridor), precision 1.00, recall 1.00, against Boulder County Land Use cases (Accela layer, read whole) and the Assessor sales file. Early Change Motivation Score: proven October 16, 2026 on 24 test cases (24 in the corridor), precision 1.00, recall 1.00, against Four signals proven on corridor parcels, read live by the composite. Fresh Verified Distress Stack: proven October 18, 2026 on 24 test cases (24 in the corridor), precision 1.00, recall 1.00, against The same proven distress legs, each dated by what it read (the Boulder files' CreatedDate, the Larimer files' RUNDATE, the stored tax list's as-of date, live layers today). Stalled Permit Distress: proven October 16, 2026 on 48 test cases (48 in the corridor), precision 1.00, recall 1.00, against Boulder County building permits (Accela, public ArcGIS layer, no key) and the City of Boulder construction permits (public ArcGIS layer, no key). Heir Property Fractional: proven October 18, 2026 on 24 test cases (24 in the corridor), precision 1.00, recall 1.00, against Boulder County Assessor sales and owner files (nightly CSVs, no key). Fire Casualty Permit: proven October 16, 2026 on 24 test cases (24 in the corridor), precision 1.00, recall 1.00, against Boulder County fire-casualty records (Accela Four Mile Fire and Marshall Fire records; the Marshall Fire parcel layer; public ArcGIS, no key). Vacant Land Owner Distress Join: proven October 18, 2026 on 24 test cases (24 in the corridor), precision 1.00, recall 1.00, against Boulder County Assessor sales and owner files (nightly CSVs, no key). Hoa Superpriority Lien: proven October 18, 2026 on 24 test cases (24 in the corridor), precision 1.00, recall 1.00, against Boulder County Assessor sales and owner files (nightly CSVs, no key). Distress Stack Conviction Score: proven October 18, 2026 on 24 test cases (24 in the corridor), precision 1.00, recall 1.00, against The corridor's proven distress signals (Boulder County. Lien Stack Priority: proven October 18, 2026 on 24 test cases (24 in the corridor), precision 1.00, recall 1.00, against Boulder County Assessor sales file and Land Use cases. Tired Landlord Composite: proven October 16, 2026 on 48 test cases (48 in the corridor), precision 1.00, recall 1.00, against Boulder County parcel owners and sales and its code cases and permits (Accela), and Larimer County's tax parcels layer, its Assessor's public sales file and its Treasurer's tax lien sale list, public, no key. Mechanic Lien Distress: proven October 18, 2026 on 24 test cases (24 in the corridor), precision 1.00, recall 1.00, against Boulder County Land Use cases (Accela layer, read whole). Eviction Timeline Risk: proven October 18, 2026 on 24 test cases (8 in the corridor, 16 elsewhere in Colorado), precision 1.00, recall 1.00, against U.S. Census Bureau ACS 2020-2024 5-year summary file, table B25071 (median gross rent as a percentage of household income), per tract (www2.census.gov, no key), not tested in the Colorado corridor.

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